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South Africa

SA GDP falls by 3.2% - biggest drop in ten years

───   13:47 Tue, 04 Jun 2019

SA GDP falls by 3.2% - biggest drop in ten years | News Article
PHOTO: HP Audit

South Africa's economy shrank by 3.2% in the first three months of the year, Stats SA announced on Tuesday.


"The 3.2% decline is the biggest quarterly fall in economic activity since the first quarter of 2009, when the economy – under strain from the global financial crisis – tumbled by 6.1%," said Stats SA in a note.  

The rand fell by over 1% against the dollar on the news, to trade at R14.64/$ at 12:24. 

While a decrease had been predicted by analysts and the SA Reserve Bank - who flagged depressed expenditure and investment in the economy, weak consumer demand, the negative impact of load-shedding and recurring falls in mining production - the number still came as a shock. Investec's Annabel Bishop, for example, had predicted that real GDP was likely to fall by 1.9% in Q1. 

Almost all industries contracted when compared to the fourth quarter of 2018, Stats SA announced, with manufacturing falling by 8.8%, mining down 10.8%, agriculture down 13.2% and electricity shrinking by 6.9%. Transport fell by 4.4%, trade was down 3.6%, and construction declined by 2.2%. 

Government, on the other hand, grew by 1.2%, finance by 1.1% and personal services by 1.1%. 

If South Africa's economy contracts again in the next quarter of 2019, the country will enter a recession. 

South Africa's economy slid into recession in the first half of 2018 after experiencing two successive quarters of negative economic growth. Growth gained pace in the third quarter. 


Fin24

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